The New York Giants posted their first win of the season, 27-21 in New Orleans last week. It was a game that showed some impressive stats for the Big Blue, with Daniel Jones’ 402 passing yards and Kenny Golladay’s 116 receiving yards. Also of note were Kedarius Tony’s six catches for 78 yards and John Ross’s 52-yard touchdown bomb. Despite Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton being out, the Giants were hardly devoid of weapons.
However, the two figures were disappointing for the giants. On 26 pass attempts for Saints quarterback Jameis Winston and Tessam Hill, the Giants had zero sacks and zero quarterback hits. If those numbers repeat Sunday afternoon in Arlington, Texas, New York will be blown away by Dac Prescott and friends from Jerry’s World. But I don’t think that will happen. The Giants were playing an average of two sacks before last week, and now every defensive player in the blue will have a fire lit under the saddle.
The Giants have included three final margins of six points or less in the season so far. Dallas has played three of the four close games, and has Ezekiel Elliott (knee) and Amari Cooper (hamstring) on his midweek injury list. I am looking for Jones to finally have a chance to win it and am happy to have a generous touchdown head start.
to select: Giants, +7.
New York Jets on Atlanta Falcons (+3)
Having watched some of these London games in recent years, I have the idea that given the long journey and unfamiliar surroundings, a team with more enthusiasm would have an edge. I have a feeling the team will be the Jets after their first win last week against Tennessee. Not only did he sack Ryan Tanhill seven times, but the way CJ Mosley and Quincy Williams were launching into Derrick Henry looked like a “Madden” video game. Atlanta is dangerous on screen and on the peek, but Matt Ryan doesn’t have a big enough horse to run back that the Jets have to worry, and that too would be without top wideout Calvin Ridley. If the jets can play out the front, it could be another high sack total and possibly a very pleasant flight home across the pond for Gang Green.
Detroit Lions (+9) over Minnesota Vikings
This is the type of game where you stick your nose and score big points. The Lions are 0-4, but stretched against the 49ers and Ravens, and were leading at halftime at Green Bay. They lost 10 to Chicago last week after two early firsts and blanks on goal positions. Dan Campbell’s team still looks like a living big ‘dog.
New Orleans Saints on Washington football team (-2)
The Saints should be better focused after losing an 11-point, fourth-quarter lead versus the Giants. WFT made a late comeback in Atlanta, but TE could be without Logan Thomas and OG Brandon Sheriff, two key pieces of its offense.
New England Patriots (-9) over Houston Texans
I’ve been burned several times in recent years with the Patriots giving big points, but don’t see the option here. Houston has been outscored 64-9 in Davis Mills’ two starts and I don’t see Mac Jones helping them with a lot of turnover here.
Miami Dolphins (+10) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Another nose-plugger. Over the past three weeks, Miami has lost 35–0 to Buffalo and 27–17 to Indianapolis, going 27–3 before two late scores. But the Dolphins are 2-0 ATS on the road, so they might be focused enough to stay close to a Bux team that’s hurtling in the secondary and a close, emotional prime-time win in New England. coming from.
Cincinnati Bengal (+3) over Green Bay Packers
The line has dropped from 3.5 to a prime number of 3 despite the unilateral public support from the Packers, so perhaps this reverse line movement has a rat to smell. Joe Mixon may miss the game, but the Bengals have been good on defense all season and have a few extra days to prepare for Thursday night’s win over Jacksonville.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-1) over Denver Broncos
I try to include the “sharp” handicap in these pics as much as I can, but that’s straight from the “square” school. The Steelers’ offense so far has been terrible, but I’m looking for this team to score some points and eventually win the game. Teddy Bridgewater’s concussion protocol will be crucial to line movement before kickoff.
Carolina Panthers (-3) over Philadelphia Eagles
After three wins, the Panthers were smoked by the Cowboys before a few late touchdowns left the score looking respectable. Sam Darnold had two quick touchdowns in that game and would have his entire playbook open against the Eagles, who have conceded 83 points in the past two weeks.
Tennessee Titans (-4.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars were already 0-4, and now you have to wonder what kind of impact Urban Mayor’s barroom antics will have on his authority. The Titans will be enraged after being defeated by the Jets and will be able to land with Henry at the Jaguar’s defense.
Cleveland Browns on Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)
The line grew rapidly from Chargers-1 when the nation saw what Justin Herbert did to the Raiders. The Browns have a better defense – they are second in yards per game and fourth in points per game. Back-to-back wins and a short week over the Chiefs and Raiders could have little effect on the Boults, and those few extra points could prove worthwhile.
Las Vegas Raiders (-5.5) over Chicago Bears
I wish I could make this a live betting selection, as I want to know if the raiders can survive their seemingly inevitable 14-0 hole. If so, it would be difficult for Justin Fields and the Byers to keep up with them. John Gruden is looking for a fix and the Raiders play the full 60 minutes this time.
San Francisco 49ers (+5) over Arizona Cardinals
Arizona was the only team in the NFL to even make it 4-0, which tells you how hard it is to win every week in this era. We’re getting some extra points because Trey Lance will likely start for the 49ers, but this pick is more about the cards clunker.
Buffalo Bills (+3) on Kansas City Chiefs
The Bills are my Super Bowl pick, so if they’re going to be the best, you have to back them against a team that some still consider to be the best. Even the small spread for the Chiefs on a 3-12 run ATS counts.
Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) over Indianapolis Colts
The line has turned down through the key numbers 7.5 to 7, which may indicate some pro action on the Colts. To go with the Ravens, though, their defense lights up as they go, and Lamar Jackson is hitting some long throws to hone his other insane skills.
Best bets: Saints, Jets, Titans.
Week lock: Saints (1-2 locks in 2021).
Last week: 8-8 overall, 2-1 best bet.
Thursday: Ram (W).